Today.Az » Analytics » Iran’s runaway energy consumption
01 September 2014 [11:53] - Today.Az
By Dalga Khatinoglu, Trend
Iran with 1,190 trillion cubic feet of gas, as well as 157 billion
barrels of oil reserves ranks second and forth as primary energy holder
in the world, but due to huge consumption rates, it is suffering from
energy shortage.
Iran's upstream and downstream energy projects have faced long
delays, cancellations or slow development due to the withdrawal of giant
international companies as well as the lack of technology, financial
might and mismanagement during last several years, while the primary
energies consumption have grown at a fast pace.
For instance Iran hasn't able to full commission any new oil and gas projects since 2007 and 2009 respectively.
The Middle East country faced gas shortages last winter seriously.
In addition to cutting the gas supply to power plants, which led to
burning $30 billion of liquid fuels, the Iranian government had to
decrease gas delivery to petrochemical plants from 1,236 million to 530
million cubic feet. This caused a drop in the petrochemical production
by 7.5 million tons during the last fiscal year.
On the other hand, Iran cut gas supply to CNG production plants from
671 million cubic feet of gas to zero during the winter, which caused
gasoline consumption to soar to about 70 million liters per day in
average during last fiscal year.
Iran also had to cut gas re-injection to oilfields, supplying gas to
several industrial sectors like cement plants, etc. during the last
winter.
The country also imported 17,000 barrels of liquid fuels per day,
mostly gasoline during 2013, as the U.S. Energy Information
Administration reported on July 21.
Iran's energy consumption
While Iran's annual energy consumption level surpassed 1,600 million
barrels of oil equivalent (OE) until March and the perspective of new
upstream projects remains dim due to the sanctions imposed by the
Western countries, Iran is going to commission several energy efficiency
plans to impede the runaway growth in energy usage.
According to the statistics released by Iran Energy Efficiency
Organization (IEEO), the country's annual energy consumption growth pace
was 3.9 percent from 2005 to 2012 (1).
Iran's energy consumption level in 2013 was 1,600 million barrels of
OE, of which 400 million barrels of OE was wasted before being consumed,
the head of Iran Energy Efficiency Organization Hossein Sajjadi said in
May.
With a population of roughly 78 million, Iran consumes energy twice
more than its Western neighbor Turkey, with approximately the same
population (2).
IEEO's latest annual report says that Iran's energy output in 2012 was 2,219 million barrels of OE.
Crude oil, gas condensate, NGLs and other liquid hydrocarbons have a
54.5 percent, while natural gas has a 44.4 percent, water, wind, solar
and nuclear energies together have a 0.5 percent and others resources
have a 0.2 percent share in total energy output.
Therefore, Iran relies 98.9 percent of its energy on fossil fuels.
On the other hand, the natural gas shares 53.45 percent of the
country's final energy consumption, while the oil products and
electricity have 35.75 and 9.93 percent shares in Iran's energy
consumption basket. In the power sector, 83.7 percent of total
electricity output is generated in thermal power plants, fueled by
gas-oil, fuel oil and natural gas.
The energy consumption rate in all spheres is more than the global
averages. Iran's energy consumption per capita in agriculture, housing,
industry and transport sectors are 3.3, 1.9, 1.5 and 1.5 times more than
global averages, IEEO says.
Iranian new government's efforts
Iran's new government, headed by Hassan Rouhani has announced it is attempting to optimize energy usage in several spheres.
Iraj Hamedizad, the director of Iran Fuel Conservation Organization
announced on July 23 that Iran plans to save 460 million cubic feet per
day of natural gas by optimizing 600,000 engine rooms across the country
(3) as part of a huge energy efficiency scheme which is expected to
cost $100 billion (4).
Fuelling Iran's power plants by natural gas increases by 40 percent
from March 21 to July 22, compared to the same period of preceding year
as National Iran Gas Company reported on July 29.
It is vital for Iran to optimize energy consumption in all spheres,
for instance, energy consumption index in the housing sector in Iran is
400 kwh per square meter. This is, for example, 8 times more than the
figures in France.
Iran's total electricity generation capacity currently stands at
70,000 megawatt (equals 263 billion KWh), while when the electricity
consumption level reached 47,300 megawatts in July, the Iranian
government warned that this is the ceiling level and in case this figure
increases again, some cities will face power outages.
There is a huge power loss during the transmission and distribution
process, which reaches around 40 billion Kwh, or more than 14 percent of
total actual power generation capacity (6), Iran's
power plants mostly suffer from exhaustion, technical problems and
significant reduction of water storages due to a several-year long
drought led to electricity shortage this summer. For instance, the head
of Tehran's regional water company told Fars News Agency on July 8 that
power output of the hydroelectricity output of Tehran's dams decreased
by 40 percent.
On the other hand, the efficiency of the country's thermal power
plants which shares 83.7 percent of total power generation is only 37
percent on average. The thermal efficiency of gas power plants is 30.6
percent, steam power plants is 36.8 percent and combined cycle power
plants is about 44.5 percent (5).
The country used 1,271 billion cubic feet of gas, as well as 28
billion liters of diesel and fuel oil for power generation during last
fiscal year, ended on March 2014.
In total, Iran's energy consumption increased by 141.1 million
barrels of OE during last year, while the energy usage level in industry
sector with 304 million barrels of OE remained unchanged comparing the
previous year.
Iran's final energy consumption and GDP (at Constant
price 1997) based on the National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution
Company's (NIORDC) statistics:
With regarding this fact that Iran's economy has been contracted by
bout 9 percent since 2012 due to sanctions and mismanagement, alongside
the current 1,200-million barrel of OE final energy consumption level,
the gap between Iran's GDP and energy consumption has been more deepened
in 2014 compared to 2011.
According to official statistics until 2012, for every one million
dollar gross revenue gain, about 600 to 800 tons of oil equivalent
energy is consumed in the country.
Beside optimizing the energy consumer engines, power plants and
cutting the wasted electricity level in transmission and distribution
process, Iran also can boost gas supply to reduce liquid fuels usage in
these sectors.
For instance Iran aimed to boost gas supply to power plants to 1,483
billion cubic feet this year to reduce gas-oil and fuel oil burning in
this sector (7).
The statistics of Iran's Energy Ministry and National Iranian Gas
Company show that during the summer when the housing sector consumes
less gas, the power plants are fueled by about 6,356 million cubic feet
of gas per day. During the cold season, this figure drops to about 1,412
to 2472 million cubic feet.
The Middle East country also can change gas with liquid fuels in the
transport sector. Iran produces 870 million cubic feet of CNG per day to
fuel cars. Iran can double this figure to economize about 20 million
liters more gasoline per day.
Iran's energy consumption during last three decades
derived from the National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution
Company's (NIORDC) annual reports:
Below is Iran's fossil energy carriers consumption per day
according to the data derived from NIORDC's annual reports. (Iran's
fiscal year begins on March 20)
Fiscal year
|
Total daily energy consumption
Kbbl of OE
|
Daily gas consumption
Kbbl of OE
|
Daily liquid fuels
Kbbl of OE*
|
1979-80
|
565
|
63
|
479
|
1989/90
|
1062
|
248
|
779
|
1999-2000
|
2084
|
1025
|
995
|
2004-2005
|
2931
|
1689
|
1174
|
2009-2010
|
3918
|
2504
|
1332
|
2010-2011
|
4027
|
2673
|
1274
|
2011-2012
|
4070
|
2707
|
1290
|
2012-2013
|
4120
|
2688
|
1362
|
** including gasoline, oil-gas, kerosene and fuel oil
The other problem is Iran's flaring gas. Iran burns about 388 bcf of
associated gas in flares annually. Iran says it has an $11 billion worth
plan to stop gas flaring.
The Islamic Republic also has a huge amount of gas consumption in the
housing sector. During last winter, about 80 percent of the country's
total gas output went to housing sector. According to IEEO, gas
consumption per capita in Iran is 6 times more than global averages.
Conclusion
Besides wasting a 400-million barrels of OE energy before reaching
any consumer, Iran should pay more attention to the optimization of
energy consumption, especially in the housing sector.
Iran's housing sector with 432 million barrels of OE, shares roughly
30 percent of the total final energy consumption. This figure is worth
$140 billion.
Beside the housing sector, the liquid fuels usage by people remains high as a result of low prices.
The Iranian government has increased the energy carriers prices twice
since 2010 based on implementation of a Subsidy Reform plan, but cheap
energy still motivates people to consume more energy.
Energy carrier
|
USD current exchange rate: 31,700 rials
|
Consumption Per day
|
A cubic meter of gas for housing sector
|
3.2 cent
|
390 mcm (13,773 mcf)
|
A liter of gasoline
|
32 cent
|
67 million liter
|
A liter of LPG
|
7 cent
|
5,500 tons
|
A liter of diesel
|
15 cent
|
100 to 105 million liters
|
A liter of Kerosene
|
5 cent
|
8 million liters
|
A cubic meters of NCG
|
18 cent
|
18 mcm
|
Beyond liquid fuels, Iran's domestic consumption of electricity was
around 200 terawatt hours in the previous year. The price of one
kilowatt hours of electricity is around 1.5 cents in Iran. It is while
the price of one kilowatt hours of electricity in, for instance the
United States was over 12 cents in April.
Realizing the energy price in Iran can harness the runaway consumption level significantly.
Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said on June 24 that
currently over $90 billon worth of liquid fuels are being consumed in
Iran, while the government pays $80 billion of the mentioned figure as
subsides.
The mentioned huge energy costs for a country with a $366.2 billion worth GDP (at market prices) is very high.
Dalga Khatinoglu is specialist on Iran's energy sector and Iran News Service head in Trend Agency
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