Biden's gift to Trump: what does the US 'partnership' with Armenia hide?

After leaving the White House, the Biden administration thought for a long time about what to do so that life would not seem like a raspberry to the new president. How would you mess up? Sprinkle broken glass on the path, put a button on the chair, change the password on the nuclear briefcase, or apply universal glue to the door handle? There were many options. But all of them paled in comparison to the degree of harmfulness that the legacy of the strategic partnership with Armenia carried. This was indeed a sophisticated revenge for the lost elections. Now Trump has to live with it.

The Charter on Strategic Partnership between Armenia and the United States, signed by Mirzoyan and Blinken in Washington on Tuesday, contains a lot of nonsense that does not deserve attention. Strengthening economic and energy ties, building a "crossroads of the world," nuclear cooperation, and more. Armenia will also help the Americans defeat ISIS, otherwise they cannot cope without it. It will be interesting to see how the "Armenian economic miracle" built on re-export will collapse when the United States begins to control Armenia's imports and exports provided for in the charter. This point is the work of the Americans. But the "crossroads of the world" was squeezed into the charter by the Armenian side, hoping to put pressure on Azerbaijan with American hands on the issue of communications. What and how the Armenians will "cross" with the Americans on this isolated piece of land is their concern. The Biden administration deliberately left this signing for the last days of its stay in the White House, so that it would not have a headache later. 

The main reason for signing this document was to legalize American military involvement in "strengthening border security." A special group will leave for Armenia next week to strengthen this security. And let Washington just try to dodge what is written in the charter - the diaspora and the lobby will be quickly returned to the right path. Now the Armenians have a paper that they will stick under the nose of the American administration whenever it pays insufficient attention to Armenian interests. It's like a prenuptial agreement that defines the relationship down to the smallest detail, down to the number of, sorry, coitus per week.

Recall that the same "prenuptial agreement" was signed by the United States with Georgia in January 2009. And it contained almost the same thing that Blinken and Mirzoyan signed last Tuesday, with the exception of additions made by Yerevan in the form of samples of Nikol Pashinyan's near-political creativity. This is a standard document that, by and large, does not bind the strong party to anything and does not strain it in any way. The weak side gets additional inferiority complexes. It is not serious to talk about an equal partnership between the United States and Armenia. It's generally ridiculous to talk about the upcoming Euro-Atlantic integration.

Nevertheless, the Armenian Ambassador to the United States, Lilit Makunts, called for the charter signing day to be declared a holiday. There is a joyful upsurge in the Armenian expert community. According to some, Armenia has taken a historic step in the light of the approaching new world order. It will be great to enter this new world on the shoulders of a superpower and be at the front of the queue when handing out buns. Against the background of the registration of a "marriage" with Washington, Armenia does not even rule out the possibility of returning the Karabakh issue to the international agenda "with a new redistribution of the world."

And very unnecessarily. Because Armenia is already too late for the future new world order.

Let's say even more. No matter who Yerevan signs charters with, if the current principles on which peace rests are scrapped, if the inviolability of borders ceases to be a fundamental pillar of preventing chaos, Armenia itself will have to urgently start searching for its true historical homeland. As you know, it is located far from the Caucasus. Armenian dreamers appeal to the division of the world conceived in the last century, without taking into account how the world has changed over the decades. They still hope that there will be another "Woodrow Wilson" who will start cutting up borders to please the Armenians, and this process of cutting and sewing will be carried out by her "Christian brothers" and in the interests of Armenia, because she will buy everyone and because she has signed a strategic partnership with the States themselves.

As a makeshift state entity that never had real sovereignty for a single day, today's Armenia differs little from Armenia a century ago. But the world around her has changed. It is surrounded by independent, strong countries making their own policies. She was the only one behind the times. Although, I must say, the Armenians have something to be proud of - it started the humiliation of international law. However, the Armenians have failed to properly manage the global support resource they had, and they are somehow keeping afloat today only because someone needs it.

Speaking of the new world order. This process began in September 2020 and Azerbaijan started it. He broke all the generally accepted ideas about how a small-power state should behave. According to these ideas, which had the unspoken status of rules, a state from this category does not have the right to liberate its lands without asking permission from the "elders". First, the Powers must weigh their own interests in one outcome or another, and the resolution depends on the results of this weighing. The Karabakh conflict and the occupation of Azerbaijani territories by Armenia were also unleashed with the permission of the world forces, who saw this bloody experiment as beneficial for themselves. The powers needed the conflict, but no one needed de-occupation, on the contrary, it deprived world circles of an instrument of influence on the region.

Azerbaijan destroyed all these ideas by liberating its lands after thirty years of occupation. No one expected this, but it happened. The results of the 44-day war and the anti-terrorist operation of September 2023 are already a fait accompli. To the horror of the Armenian side, no one was able to win back the situation. Powerful forces, unceremoniously pursuing their policy as they please, have failed to stop Azerbaijan or force it to leave at least something to the aggressor. Many who had not dared to speak out and defend their rights before asked themselves the question "why was it possible?". It turns out that it is possible. It's just that someone had to have the courage to be the first.

So Armenia is already too late to redefine the world. Its main task in changing circumstances should be to take care of the preservation of illegally obtained square kilometers. And for this, Yerevan must behave well. Even Santa Claus only brings gifts to those who have been good all year. Armenia has not yet earned its gift in the form of a peace treaty. And Baku is not a mass worker from the house of culture, in front of which it is enough to read a poem to get a candy.

The state of uncertainty and the lack of a delimited border is fraught with great problems for the region. These problems come from Armenia, or rather, from those who stand behind it. In the context of geopolitical perturbations, it is impossible to count on lasting peace at all, and even more so if there are no borders marked by boundary pillars between neighbors. Yerevan is not advised to sign a guaranteed document in order to leave a loophole for the future and try to take revenge under favorable circumstances. Everyone understands perfectly well how this will end for Armenia, but they continue to "amicably" push it towards the abyss. The Biden administration has been doing this for all four years of government, and the Armenians are confident that after signing the charter, Donald Trump will take over the baton.

We can say with full confidence that, regardless of who Armenia's ally is and what the new world order will be like, it has only two options. Either it stops its territorial encroachments against Azerbaijan forever, or the Armenians will really have to start searching for their real historical homeland, as we have already noted. Every nation should have a historical homeland, and the Armenian people probably have one somewhere. And if he doesn't want to live in peace and harmony with his current neighbors, let him look for others. Armenia, looking at its patrons, hopes for their protection in the new division of the world, while it is unknown what will happen to these countries themselves. Look, Canada has actually fallen out of the loop. The Armenian theme for Canadians was tied only to Trudeau. This topic will also be removed from the agenda after Macron's expulsion from the post of president of France. And it's really funny to see how some Armenian experts are trying to draw parallels between Donald Trump's statements on Greenland and the Armenian claims on Karabakh.

Meanwhile, the agenda of the South Caucasus in the new redistribution of the world, which the neighbors are counting on, will be as follows: any attempts to raise the issue of Karabakh will end very badly for Armenia. Armenia should come to a new world order by sticking to Azerbaijan, not France or charters with an overseas power. This is the only way it can preserve its ephemeral statehood.

Although, to tell the truth, why does Armenia need statehood? Our neighbors obviously don't know what to do with it. Those who created this state, apparently, did not attach instructions.