The deadly coronavirus that emerged last year does not currently appear to be infectious enough to pose a global threat, researchers say.
Their analysis of 55 cases of Middle East respiratory-syndrome coronavirus, published in the Lancet, indicated the virus struggled to spread in people.
But the virus may be mutating, which means it could become a much greater threat.
It is similar to viruses that cause Sars and the common cold.
So far there have been 77 confirmed cases and 41 deaths. Most infections come from an unidentified animal source, but there have been cases in which the virus has spread between people.
A high value means the number of cases can increase rapidly and potentially spread around the world, but a number less than one would mean the virus was destined to fade away.
The study indicated each patient would, on average, infect 0.69 others. So three infected patients would pass the virus on to just two people.
/BBC/