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Many are surprised that the Georgian opposition, having
gathered for a post-election protest rally, dispersed so quickly and
peacefully. Riots, indefinite actions, the so-called European choice of
supporters of the so-called European choice in front of parliament were
expected. But it all ended somehow quietly and did not develop into a
revolutionary situation.
Why? It's not that hard to explain. The entire
"democratic world" was united and unanimously behind the opposition,
and, I think, it was advised not to do anything yet. The topic of Georgia has
come to the top of the Western agenda, pushing even Ukraine. All the thoughts
of American and European politicians are occupied with the Georgian elections.
The West refuses to consider the formation of parliament and government an
internal matter of Georgia and it is unclear by what right it is developing an
intervention mechanism. Reading the statements of the leaders of the European
Union and American officials, a strange feeling of unreality is created. A
small South Caucasian country has held parliamentary elections, and the
reaction is as if the fate of the whole world depends on it.
Recall that the ruling Georgian Dream outpaced the
opposition camp in terms of the number of votes and won the majority of
mandates. This result did not suit the opposition. The opposition may be
unhappy, this is its right. That's why she's the opposition. Borrell or Blinken
also have the right to express their opinion on the October 26 vote. No one can
stop them from speaking critically. But expressing an opinion is one thing, but
outright intervention and planning practical actions is quite another. At
present, the latter is exactly what is available.
I must say that we in Azerbaijan are used to a wave of criticism
and hysteria rising after any elections in our country. This happens without
fail. As a rule, this is a pre-prepared campaign, where everyone has their own
lines, and everyone sings together in the same key. But it has never occurred
to anyone to plan international mechanisms for verifying the results of voting
and to propose repeat elections under the leadership of an international format
rather than a national Central Election Commission.
European and American officials unanimously declared war on the
current government of Georgia.
The head of EU diplomacy, Josep Borrel, and the President of
the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, called for investigating
violations "promptly, transparently and independently." US Secretary
of State Anthony Blinken said that the results of the parliamentary elections
held in Georgia are not credible and demanded an investigation. The official
representative of the US State Department, Matthew Miller, made some
clarifications to the requirements for the investigation. According to the
media, "he did not specify that the investigative body should be Georgian,
but noted that the United States is consulting with its European partners on
which body would be suitable for conducting such an investigation."
There is an unpleasant situation in which such a member of
the international community as Georgia is being tried to expose as a
weak-willed third world country, into the pot of which you can climb with your
spoon. Even with countries where the junta rules and bloody coups take place
every six months, international law does not allow to be treated so
unceremoniously. And here is Georgia! Just imagine: the United States is
consulting with European partners on how to deal with elections held in a
sovereign independent state! And what is especially ugly is that they are going
to conduct an investigation without the participation of national structures,
in fact, to organize an international trial. Georgia has not committed any
international crime, has not attacked anyone, and has not committed genocides.
She just wanted to go free swimming.
Miller claims that more than 80 percent of Georgians seek
European and Euro-Atlantic integration. But he does not mention that once in
Georgia, 100 percent of the population was on this wave, seeing a bright
prospect in European integration. For more than fifteen years, the country,
which was getting out of its skin for EU membership, was kept at a distance and
"remotely" corrected, staging riots and coups when something did not
go according to the rules of the owners. Apparently, no one expected that
Tbilisi would suddenly take and leave obedience. No one expected that the
government would "dare" not to listen to the order and adopt a law on
foreign agents, and then ban LGBT propaganda. The latter, I think, infuriated
the "democratic world" especially.
Georgia is a Caucasian country with its own traditions, its
own moral code, and its own interests. Integration into the EU, inscribed in
paragraph 78 of the Constitution in 2017 (moreover, by the very same
"Georgian Dream"), did not mean that Georgians would agree to
everything just to join the "European family". If the LGBT issue had
been as hot then as it has been in recent years, a certain part of those who
voted "for" would have turned out to be "against".
It seems that the introduction of this amendment seven years
ago was a mistake. You should never include clauses in the basic law of a
country that attach it to specific addresses. Perhaps this was done in order to
get rid of the status of "pro-Russian", perhaps it was a condition
for the introduction of the EU visa-free regime for Georgia (introduced in
2017). It doesn't matter anymore. But without this amendment, it would be
easier for the Georgian government to repel attacks now. And the same Miller
would not point out to Tbilisi the alleged unconstitutionality of its steps in
general and the election results in particular.
Meanwhile, Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze said at a
government meeting yesterday that European integration remains the country's
foreign policy priority for the coming years. "We expect a reset of
relations, which will happen, I think, in an intensive mode from the beginning
of next year," he said.
Joining the EU has become a fetish of the Georgian
opposition, although there have long been signs that the country will not be
accepted into the European Union. Moldova, which also recently held elections
and a referendum on the "European choice", will not be accepted into
the EU. Ukraine will not be accepted. Armenia is not worth talking about.
Today, the latter is being readied to replace Georgia in the liberated
"heart" of Europe, trying to turn it into an arena of confrontation
between the West and Russia. Yerevan got drunk from such attention to itself
and lost its head. However, Armenia's head has always been out of place.
The most remarkable thing is that Western interested parties
cannot prove the fact of total violations and falsifications. On the day of
voting, many videos of an obviously staged nature were thrown into the social
network, when bundles of ballots were literally crammed into the ballot boxes
under the attentive gaze of the phone camera. It was a circus, clearly
organized by a non-ruling party. Critics have no real facts that could affect
the election results and lead to their cancellation. Just words and emotions.
Where did French Minister for European Affairs Benjamin Haddad get the idea
that there was "pressure, intimidation and threats" in the electoral
process in Georgia? Where did Western politicians get the idea that Russia was
"leading" the elections? According to media sources, President Salome
Zurabishvili herself admitted to her Polish counterpart that she had evidence
of Russian interference.
As one of the MEPs said, "no observer will be able to
confirm the falsification, but..."But" in this case, we are removing
it.
Nevertheless, the hysteria continues. Canada has announced
that it will review its relations with Georgia, the EU countries are vying to
brand and demand. As always, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia are trying
especially hard, voices are heard from Great Britain, Norway, Poland, Sweden
and other countries. None of them have such self-proclaimed "powers"
as the States to organize an investigation against the government of Georgia,
but in the general chorus, every single verse is heard well.
The voices of those who accepted the choice of the Georgian
people resound in dissonance in this noise. Azerbaijan, Turkiye, Hungary,
Armenia, China and Russia have so far congratulated the ruling Party of Georgia
on its victory. The rest of them fell silent in fright, waiting for the end of
the execution arranged by the West. The attack on Tbilisi is too fierce to fall
under the hot hand. The European Union is angry at the behavior of Viktor
Orban, who not only congratulated Kobakhidze, but also paid a visit to Georgia
a day after the elections, when the whole of Europe expresses its
"fi" to Tbilisi. The Georgian opposition, of course, booed the
Hungarian president, but this was expected.
Azerbaijan is a separate issue. Azerbaijan is the leader of
the region and in all the processes unfolding around Georgia over the past
year, has shown itself to be a reliable friend who is close by. Close in every
sense of the word, not only geographically, but also morally. While Armenia is
being dragged into the vortex of confrontation between the poles of power, Baku
did not allow Georgia to do the same, supporting the country's government. It
is always easier to act when there is a strong ally nearby. And Azerbaijan and
Georgia are strategic allies and are vitally interested in each other. Georgia
is in the midst of global changes thanks to Azerbaijan's projects. And this
position ensures her safety in many ways. If Armenia ever stops looking for
friends on the side, it will also feel the benefits of a regional union.
We will monitor the situation. And let's hope that the
hysteria around the choice of the Georgian people will soon stop, and Georgia
will come out of this ordeal without losses.