Number of cyclones in the Atlantic significantly exceeds forecasts

By Alimat Aliyeva

The actual number of storms in the Atlantic in 2024 has significantly exceeded projections.

"In 2024, the number of cyclones in the Atlantic was significantly higher than usual based on climatic patterns. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported that 18 storms were recorded this year, instead of the expected 14, representing a notable 25% increase. Of these, 11 were hurricanes with wind speeds of 33 m/s or more, and 5 intensified into very strong hurricanes with winds reaching 50 m/s or more," said the meteorologist.

He explained that the initial forecast for this season predicted 14 storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 very strong hurricanes. However, 18 storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 very strong hurricanes were actually recorded. According to Wilfand, the WMO has calculated that this marks the ninth consecutive season in which the number of hurricanes has exceeded their expected climatic norms.

"Researchers link the increased frequency of hurricanes and storms to exceptionally high temperatures in the Atlantic. The number of tropical cyclones, hurricanes, and very strong hurricanes has been rising each decade," he added.

The continuing trend of more intense and frequent storms underscores the growing impact of climate change on global weather patterns. This development serves as a stark reminder of the need for more comprehensive climate action to mitigate future risks.